Rising Tensions Threaten India’s Stakes in West Asia
• The ongoing Israel-Iran conflict has heightened concerns for India’s strategic, economic, and human interests in the region.
• Operation Sindhu: Evacuation Highlights Risk
• Over 2,000 Indian nationals evacuated from Iran and Israel.
• Reflects India’s high sensitivity to regional instability.
Significant Indian Diaspora in the Region
• West Asia hosts 25% of India’s 35 million overseas population.
Largest populations:
• UAE: 3.6 million
• Saudi Arabia: 2.5 million
• Kuwait: 1 million
• Qatar: 0.8 million
• Oman: 0.7 million
Education and Employment Ties
• 11,000 Indian students studied in West Asia in 2024, mainly in UAE, Iran, and Israel.
• The UAE is a hub for both blue-collar workers and high-skilled professionals, drawn by tax incentives and long-term visa options.
Economic Impact: Remittances at Risk
• India received $118 billion in remittances in 2023–24.
• West Asia contributed $45 billion (38%):
• UAE: 19.2%
• Saudi Arabia: 6.7%
• Kuwait: 3.9%
• Israel and Iran are not major remittance sources but are part of the larger regional network.
Trade & Oil Vulnerabilities
• West Asia is vital for oil imports and exports.
• Any escalation beyond Israel and Iran (e.g., attacks in Qatar, Iraq) may disrupt India's energy security and trade routes.
• Precedent: Ukraine War’s Impact on Indian Students
• Indian students in Ukraine dropped from 2,200 (2022) to 252 (2024).
• Similar disruptions could occur in West Asia if tensions escalate.